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	<title>Comments on: Post-Guarantee Events at Anglo</title>
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	<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2010/07/17/post-guarantee-events-at-anglo/</link>
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	<pubDate>Thu, 24 May 2012 02:41:14 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>By: zakalwe</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2010/07/17/post-guarantee-events-at-anglo/#comment-61100</link>
		<dc:creator>zakalwe</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 22 Jul 2010 08:24:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=7161#comment-61100</guid>
		<description>@cormac lucey

not exclusively....DT can arise thru accelerated tax allowances, and expected profits/losses in the future (temporary and permanent timing differences).

this type of DT arises on gains/losses in FV of assets which are recycled thru revaluation reserves (capital part of balance sheet rather than p&#38;l) and the DT liab or asset arising should the asset/liability be crystalised and gain/loss taken to p&#38;l and creating a tax charge/credit.

this deal looks like it was designed by tax accountants, not treasury experts.  sounds like someone going outside their comfort zone to try and pull a (legal) fast one on the revenue (i.e. reduce tax bill).  anyhoo....it fell apart as the assumptions (fx rates stay the same and the interest rates in japan vis a vis london would remain unchanged) failed to hold true for the duration of the transaction.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@cormac lucey</p>
<p>not exclusively&#8230;.DT can arise thru accelerated tax allowances, and expected profits/losses in the future (temporary and permanent timing differences).</p>
<p>this type of DT arises on gains/losses in FV of assets which are recycled thru revaluation reserves (capital part of balance sheet rather than p&amp;l) and the DT liab or asset arising should the asset/liability be crystalised and gain/loss taken to p&amp;l and creating a tax charge/credit.</p>
<p>this deal looks like it was designed by tax accountants, not treasury experts.  sounds like someone going outside their comfort zone to try and pull a (legal) fast one on the revenue (i.e. reduce tax bill).  anyhoo&#8230;.it fell apart as the assumptions (fx rates stay the same and the interest rates in japan vis a vis london would remain unchanged) failed to hold true for the duration of the transaction.</p>
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		<title>By: Anglo companies &#8211; The Story</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2010/07/17/post-guarantee-events-at-anglo/#comment-61060</link>
		<dc:creator>Anglo companies &#8211; The Story</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Jul 2010 21:36:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=7161#comment-61060</guid>
		<description>[...] Finance, 2008 and 2009 accounts. The 2009 accounts contain the now infamous yen loss, Colm McCarthy referred to recently. The notes to the accounts are particularly [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] Finance, 2008 and 2009 accounts. The 2009 accounts contain the now infamous yen loss, Colm McCarthy referred to recently. The notes to the accounts are particularly [...]</p>
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		<title>By: tull mcadoo</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2010/07/17/post-guarantee-events-at-anglo/#comment-60492</link>
		<dc:creator>tull mcadoo</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Jul 2010 15:20:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=7161#comment-60492</guid>
		<description>@ Fergus,

It is more comforting to believe that I am lead by a knave than a fool.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@ Fergus,</p>
<p>It is more comforting to believe that I am lead by a knave than a fool.</p>
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		<title>By: FERGUS O'ROURKE</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2010/07/17/post-guarantee-events-at-anglo/#comment-60488</link>
		<dc:creator>FERGUS O'ROURKE</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Jul 2010 14:50:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=7161#comment-60488</guid>
		<description>The sad reality, it seems to me, is that the observation

"... after end-September 2008...there could have been no plausible expectation of profits to shelter"

is not correct. 

I explain why here : http://bit.ly/bv75Mx</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The sad reality, it seems to me, is that the observation</p>
<p>&#8220;&#8230; after end-September 2008&#8230;there could have been no plausible expectation of profits to shelter&#8221;</p>
<p>is not correct. </p>
<p>I explain why here : <a href="http://bit.ly/bv75Mx" rel="nofollow">http://bit.ly/bv75Mx</a></p>
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		<title>By: Cliff Taylor</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2010/07/17/post-guarantee-events-at-anglo/#comment-60427</link>
		<dc:creator>Cliff Taylor</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Jul 2010 09:47:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=7161#comment-60427</guid>
		<description>here is the link to the original piece . march 1st 2009. the stuff about the yen trade is at the bottom. I think Colm's post catches it all anyhow 

http://archives.tcm.ie/businesspost/2009/03/01/story39934.asp</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>here is the link to the original piece . march 1st 2009. the stuff about the yen trade is at the bottom. I think Colm&#8217;s post catches it all anyhow </p>
<p><a href="http://archives.tcm.ie/businesspost/2009/03/01/story39934.asp" rel="nofollow">http://archives.tcm.ie/businesspost/2009/03/01/story39934.asp</a></p>
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		<title>By: Cormac Lucey</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2010/07/17/post-guarantee-events-at-anglo/#comment-60411</link>
		<dc:creator>Cormac Lucey</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Jul 2010 08:24:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=7161#comment-60411</guid>
		<description>@ Colm

Interesting post. And, as always from you, information rich.

FYI Deferred tax is an accounting concept used by accountants to even out the difference between accounting depreciation and tax depreciation. . 

So, for example, if a hotel availed of accelerated depreciation for tax purposes to reduce its tax bill in its early years, the accountants would enter a balancing Deferred Tax charge in the Profit &#38; Loss Account to reflect the underlying rate of tax (and to thus average the incidence of the tax charge over the expected life of the project). Thus someone reading the accounts would see an overall tax charge that corresponded to the average tax rate over the full life of the project.

That balancing DT charge would give rise to a corresponding Deferred Tax asset which would be written down in the project's later years when the actual tax charge rose, the tax depreciation having been fully taken.

The problem for Anglo is that it is highly unlikely that its Deferred Tax assets will ever be realised, as its tax losses must now be absolutely huge.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@ Colm</p>
<p>Interesting post. And, as always from you, information rich.</p>
<p>FYI Deferred tax is an accounting concept used by accountants to even out the difference between accounting depreciation and tax depreciation. . </p>
<p>So, for example, if a hotel availed of accelerated depreciation for tax purposes to reduce its tax bill in its early years, the accountants would enter a balancing Deferred Tax charge in the Profit &amp; Loss Account to reflect the underlying rate of tax (and to thus average the incidence of the tax charge over the expected life of the project). Thus someone reading the accounts would see an overall tax charge that corresponded to the average tax rate over the full life of the project.</p>
<p>That balancing DT charge would give rise to a corresponding Deferred Tax asset which would be written down in the project&#8217;s later years when the actual tax charge rose, the tax depreciation having been fully taken.</p>
<p>The problem for Anglo is that it is highly unlikely that its Deferred Tax assets will ever be realised, as its tax losses must now be absolutely huge.</p>
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		<title>By: Pa Bandit</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2010/07/17/post-guarantee-events-at-anglo/#comment-60388</link>
		<dc:creator>Pa Bandit</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Jul 2010 01:26:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=7161#comment-60388</guid>
		<description>Agree with a lot of the conspiracy theories on here but don’t think this is one of them.

The translation is that the trade produced a PBT loss but a PAT gain of 17 million.  Therefore, the cash position would be positive.  However, the lack of taxable profits meant that the tax benefit couldn’t be utilized and it resulted in a 80 million loss.

Think investors buying hotel rooms to buy a tax shelter and then not having the income to shelter.

Think there is a lot worse in Anglo to investigate.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Agree with a lot of the conspiracy theories on here but don’t think this is one of them.</p>
<p>The translation is that the trade produced a PBT loss but a PAT gain of 17 million.  Therefore, the cash position would be positive.  However, the lack of taxable profits meant that the tax benefit couldn’t be utilized and it resulted in a 80 million loss.</p>
<p>Think investors buying hotel rooms to buy a tax shelter and then not having the income to shelter.</p>
<p>Think there is a lot worse in Anglo to investigate.</p>
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		<title>By: Greg</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2010/07/17/post-guarantee-events-at-anglo/#comment-60381</link>
		<dc:creator>Greg</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Jul 2010 00:15:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=7161#comment-60381</guid>
		<description>colm mccarthy

"How can there be unexploded bombs at this stage?"

Think minefield.

Think clusterbomb.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>colm mccarthy</p>
<p>&#8220;How can there be unexploded bombs at this stage?&#8221;</p>
<p>Think minefield.</p>
<p>Think clusterbomb.</p>
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		<title>By: Digest &#8211; 18 July 2010 &#8211; The Story</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2010/07/17/post-guarantee-events-at-anglo/#comment-60374</link>
		<dc:creator>Digest &#8211; 18 July 2010 &#8211; The Story</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 18 Jul 2010 22:36:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=7161#comment-60374</guid>
		<description>[...] recommended read of the week; Colm McCarthy on the the post-guarantee events at Anglo. What frustrating week, documents released, media tells us what everyone said, documents become [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] recommended read of the week; Colm McCarthy on the the post-guarantee events at Anglo. What frustrating week, documents released, media tells us what everyone said, documents become [...]</p>
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		<title>By: hoganmahew</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2010/07/17/post-guarantee-events-at-anglo/#comment-60365</link>
		<dc:creator>hoganmahew</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 18 Jul 2010 20:48:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=7161#comment-60365</guid>
		<description>@colmmccarthy
"where possible" means where an index exists for the particular derivative, perhaps for some FX derivatives? Everything else is a bilateral arrangement. There aren't published prices for them. I would be surprised if even 10% could be market to market. The rest depends on the models...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@colmmccarthy<br />
&#8220;where possible&#8221; means where an index exists for the particular derivative, perhaps for some FX derivatives? Everything else is a bilateral arrangement. There aren&#8217;t published prices for them. I would be surprised if even 10% could be market to market. The rest depends on the models&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: Brian O' Hanlon</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2010/07/17/post-guarantee-events-at-anglo/#comment-60364</link>
		<dc:creator>Brian O' Hanlon</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 18 Jul 2010 20:39:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=7161#comment-60364</guid>
		<description>@ Colm McCarthy, 

For some odd reason, the description of actions taken by Anglo Irish bank above, reminds me of the taxi trade. As I understand it, the clever blogs delay all their engine re-conditioning and paint work repairs until the end of their tax year. Then bundle it all into one large job, which is used to offset tax liabilities. What you describe at Anglo, must have been one heck of a paint and engine job. I am not sure if we have produced a road-worthy vehicle though. BOH.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@ Colm McCarthy, </p>
<p>For some odd reason, the description of actions taken by Anglo Irish bank above, reminds me of the taxi trade. As I understand it, the clever blogs delay all their engine re-conditioning and paint work repairs until the end of their tax year. Then bundle it all into one large job, which is used to offset tax liabilities. What you describe at Anglo, must have been one heck of a paint and engine job. I am not sure if we have produced a road-worthy vehicle though. BOH.</p>
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		<title>By: colm mccarthy</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2010/07/17/post-guarantee-events-at-anglo/#comment-60341</link>
		<dc:creator>colm mccarthy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 18 Jul 2010 16:57:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=7161#comment-60341</guid>
		<description>According to Anglo's 2009 accounts (Note 1) derivative positions have been marked to market wherever possible. This must mean almost everywhere - they were not in the bespoke business as far as I know. How can there be unexploded bombs at this stage?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>According to Anglo&#8217;s 2009 accounts (Note 1) derivative positions have been marked to market wherever possible. This must mean almost everywhere - they were not in the bespoke business as far as I know. How can there be unexploded bombs at this stage?</p>
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		<title>By: Tipster</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2010/07/17/post-guarantee-events-at-anglo/#comment-60325</link>
		<dc:creator>Tipster</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 18 Jul 2010 11:03:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=7161#comment-60325</guid>
		<description>[An aside: You transcribe the extract from the accounts like it was a poem!]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[An aside: You transcribe the extract from the accounts like it was a poem!]</p>
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		<title>By: paul quigley</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2010/07/17/post-guarantee-events-at-anglo/#comment-60313</link>
		<dc:creator>paul quigley</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 18 Jul 2010 08:03:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=7161#comment-60313</guid>
		<description>The shoes will continue to drop. It's not just the cred of the governing party which is slipping, it is the credibility of our leading social groups, institutions and professions. 

Hard to see how we can evade a state resoution regime with the usual massive cuts in public sector numbers/pay, and social welfare. 

We are heading into the process with prisons already full, so it's a serious test for our polity and constitutional order.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The shoes will continue to drop. It&#8217;s not just the cred of the governing party which is slipping, it is the credibility of our leading social groups, institutions and professions. </p>
<p>Hard to see how we can evade a state resoution regime with the usual massive cuts in public sector numbers/pay, and social welfare. </p>
<p>We are heading into the process with prisons already full, so it&#8217;s a serious test for our polity and constitutional order.</p>
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		<title>By: Greg</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2010/07/17/post-guarantee-events-at-anglo/#comment-60293</link>
		<dc:creator>Greg</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 18 Jul 2010 00:32:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=7161#comment-60293</guid>
		<description>“The Commission of Inquiry will have a long agenda, but this costly Anglo forex manouevre deserves a slot somewhere.”

“deserves”? Why? 

What do you think this is a democracy?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lhVM0HmGado&#38;feature=player_embedded


At 2:28 Hitler declares “I have therefore, refused to come before the people to make cheap promises”

Oldspeak for “hard decisions” and no “by-elections”?

Thank God for Newspeak.

I look forward to the Ministry of Truth (Minitrue) saving the “Irish State” by the introduction of Crimethink.

The “Irish State” must pay the rigged casino derivative gambling debts of the sociopathic vain because the “Irish State” created them.

The €14.6bn of derivatives that NAMA has taken on (on our behalf) pales in significance to the €167bn gross value derivatives on the balance sheet of Anglo Irish Bank at 31 December 2009 (page 79). 

So if Anglo “lost” €181m so far how much have they lost since?

1% of €167bn would be (oh let’s just round it up) €2bn.

http://www.angloirishbank.com/About-Us/Reports/Annual_Report_Accounts_2009/Annual_Report_Accounts_PDF.pdf

You think that’s not probable?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>“The Commission of Inquiry will have a long agenda, but this costly Anglo forex manouevre deserves a slot somewhere.”</p>
<p>“deserves”? Why? </p>
<p>What do you think this is a democracy?</p>
<p><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lhVM0HmGado&amp;feature=player_embedded" rel="nofollow">http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lhVM0HmGado&amp;feature=player_embedded</a></p>
<p>At 2:28 Hitler declares “I have therefore, refused to come before the people to make cheap promises”</p>
<p>Oldspeak for “hard decisions” and no “by-elections”?</p>
<p>Thank God for Newspeak.</p>
<p>I look forward to the Ministry of Truth (Minitrue) saving the “Irish State” by the introduction of Crimethink.</p>
<p>The “Irish State” must pay the rigged casino derivative gambling debts of the sociopathic vain because the “Irish State” created them.</p>
<p>The €14.6bn of derivatives that NAMA has taken on (on our behalf) pales in significance to the €167bn gross value derivatives on the balance sheet of Anglo Irish Bank at 31 December 2009 (page 79). </p>
<p>So if Anglo “lost” €181m so far how much have they lost since?</p>
<p>1% of €167bn would be (oh let’s just round it up) €2bn.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.angloirishbank.com/About-Us/Reports/Annual_Report_Accounts_2009/Annual_Report_Accounts_PDF.pdf" rel="nofollow">http://www.angloirishbank.com/About-Us/Reports/Annual_Report_Accounts_2009/Annual_Report_Accounts_PDF.pdf</a></p>
<p>You think that’s not probable?</p>
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		<title>By: Greg</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2010/07/17/post-guarantee-events-at-anglo/#comment-60287</link>
		<dc:creator>Greg</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 17 Jul 2010 22:46:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=7161#comment-60287</guid>
		<description>“Not being an accountant, I am unable to translate this into English”

I’ll translate it for you (although I know you know it).

It’s called the Yen carry trade.

It was (is) a derivative.

It blew up.

NAMA took on €14,600,000,000 (gross value) of derivatives.

This has just begun.

It will end with the destruction of the “Irish State”.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>“Not being an accountant, I am unable to translate this into English”</p>
<p>I’ll translate it for you (although I know you know it).</p>
<p>It’s called the Yen carry trade.</p>
<p>It was (is) a derivative.</p>
<p>It blew up.</p>
<p>NAMA took on €14,600,000,000 (gross value) of derivatives.</p>
<p>This has just begun.</p>
<p>It will end with the destruction of the “Irish State”.</p>
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		<title>By: hoganmahew</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2010/07/17/post-guarantee-events-at-anglo/#comment-60282</link>
		<dc:creator>hoganmahew</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 17 Jul 2010 22:31:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=7161#comment-60282</guid>
		<description>@D_E
Well, it's not larger than the other banks, but it is larger by assets. And it is, or was, also larger by the breakdown between hedging and trading:
http://www.thepropertypin.com/viewtopic.php?p=289467#p289467
and other posts in the thread. A bit dated now, but they do give a flavour of how Anglo tried to trade its way out of trouble on its derivative book.

The book size rose 70% between 2007 and 2008 and another 70% between 2008 and 2009 (chased interest rates up and then chased them down again). 

Wan wonders sometimes if Anglo could end up costing more than its assets are worth, never mind adding its liabilities in. 

Burn 1.5 bn on St. Stephen's Green? We should be so lucky. I'm still waiting for Mr. Burgess and Mr. Keenan to apologise for thinking that was somehow "sensational".</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@D_E<br />
Well, it&#8217;s not larger than the other banks, but it is larger by assets. And it is, or was, also larger by the breakdown between hedging and trading:<br />
<a href="http://www.thepropertypin.com/viewtopic.php?p=289467#p289467" rel="nofollow">http://www.thepropertypin.com/viewtopic.php?p=289467#p289467</a><br />
and other posts in the thread. A bit dated now, but they do give a flavour of how Anglo tried to trade its way out of trouble on its derivative book.</p>
<p>The book size rose 70% between 2007 and 2008 and another 70% between 2008 and 2009 (chased interest rates up and then chased them down again). </p>
<p>Wan wonders sometimes if Anglo could end up costing more than its assets are worth, never mind adding its liabilities in. </p>
<p>Burn 1.5 bn on St. Stephen&#8217;s Green? We should be so lucky. I&#8217;m still waiting for Mr. Burgess and Mr. Keenan to apologise for thinking that was somehow &#8220;sensational&#8221;.</p>
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		<title>By: dreaded_estate</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2010/07/17/post-guarantee-events-at-anglo/#comment-60280</link>
		<dc:creator>dreaded_estate</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 17 Jul 2010 22:10:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=7161#comment-60280</guid>
		<description>More worrying would be what other trades could have been placed over that time. That derivative book is worrying and far larger than any of the other banks</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>More worrying would be what other trades could have been placed over that time. That derivative book is worrying and far larger than any of the other banks</p>
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