Comments on: Now that’s what I call a stress test http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2010/08/05/now-thats-what-i-call-a-stress-test/ Thu, 24 May 2012 03:01:37 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.6.3 By: James Conran http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2010/08/05/now-thats-what-i-call-a-stress-test/#comment-63211 James Conran Fri, 06 Aug 2010 16:12:07 +0000 http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=7431#comment-63211 But as Matthew Yglesias points out a 60% decline isn't such a dramatic scenario where a 68% increase has happened the year before: http://yglesias.thinkprogress.org/2010/08/chinese-regulators-tell-banks-to-prepare-for-home-price-declines-of-as-much-as-60-percent/ But as Matthew Yglesias points out a 60% decline isn’t such a dramatic scenario where a 68% increase has happened the year before:

http://yglesias.thinkprogress.org/2010/08/chinese-regulators-tell-banks-to-prepare-for-home-price-declines-of-as-much-as-60-percent/

]]> By: Mick Costigan http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2010/08/05/now-thats-what-i-call-a-stress-test/#comment-63056 Mick Costigan Thu, 05 Aug 2010 22:55:27 +0000 http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=7431#comment-63056 Looks like Jim Chanos will soon be a very rich man with his short bet on Chinese real estate and related assets. Looks like Jim Chanos will soon be a very rich man with his short bet on Chinese real estate and related assets.

]]> By: Gregory Connor http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2010/08/05/now-thats-what-i-call-a-stress-test/#comment-62857 Gregory Connor Thu, 05 Aug 2010 10:24:19 +0000 http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=7431#comment-62857 The follow-on link to a WSJ article is also informative. I was one of many analysts complaining about the assumed modest property price declines in the stress test, and I used Ireland as an example. Ireland was far from the worst -- some of the other countries had even less appropriate "worst case" scenario forecasts for property prices - particularly Greece - and this affected the results of the test quite dramatically. http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704719104575389251817348376.html The follow-on link to a WSJ article is also informative. I was one of many analysts complaining about the assumed modest property price declines in the stress test, and I used Ireland as an example. Ireland was far from the worst — some of the other countries had even less appropriate “worst case” scenario forecasts for property prices - particularly Greece - and this affected the results of the test quite dramatically.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704719104575389251817348376.html

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