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	<title>Comments on: Worse than Sinn</title>
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	<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2011/12/06/worse-than-sinn/</link>
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	<pubDate>Thu, 24 May 2012 05:21:59 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>By: CrisisMaven</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2011/12/06/worse-than-sinn/#comment-225702</link>
		<dc:creator>CrisisMaven</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 08 Jan 2012 17:03:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=12255#comment-225702</guid>
		<description>No matter how "dangerous" TARGET balances are or not - taken together with many other measurements they show dislocations just as taking the temperature shows if someone has developped a fever or not. The question to be rased is: would such imbalances accrue if the Euro system were not in place? And the answer is simply no. Then: do these imbalances serve a positive goal? Well, I'm afraid, I don't see why they should. Fever at least can be a step towards self-curing a malady.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>No matter how &#8220;dangerous&#8221; TARGET balances are or not - taken together with many other measurements they show dislocations just as taking the temperature shows if someone has developped a fever or not. The question to be rased is: would such imbalances accrue if the Euro system were not in place? And the answer is simply no. Then: do these imbalances serve a positive goal? Well, I&#8217;m afraid, I don&#8217;t see why they should. Fever at least can be a step towards self-curing a malady.</p>
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		<title>By: rpc</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2011/12/06/worse-than-sinn/#comment-208937</link>
		<dc:creator>rpc</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 12 Dec 2011 09:40:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=12255#comment-208937</guid>
		<description>Sinn et al. are obviouly right. And it's a pitty that most people here are closing there eyes on it. So far, it's true that the ECB hasn't "print" any money regarding Target2 system. But if Greece and Portugal didn't get a single dime from any private investor for at least 4 1/2 years now, and have big deficits, how are they paying for it then: THEY (their CBs) keep printing money (Ireland does it too). 

In order to keep the amount of EUR-money at a constant level, other EUR-countries have to pull out this same amount from the system. So far, the Bundesbank had to sell over 500BLN EUR of their real value assets (that they build up in over 50 years) to pay for that. In fact, this has been a big and unfortunately legal rip off of the Bundesbank by GIIPS CB's. And Germany can't stand it anymore.

The USA had the same problem in the mid of the 20th century, and made some important rules to stop that (transfer of real value assets as compensation between district CB's, no valueless junk bonds).</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Sinn et al. are obviouly right. And it&#8217;s a pitty that most people here are closing there eyes on it. So far, it&#8217;s true that the ECB hasn&#8217;t &#8220;print&#8221; any money regarding Target2 system. But if Greece and Portugal didn&#8217;t get a single dime from any private investor for at least 4 1/2 years now, and have big deficits, how are they paying for it then: THEY (their CBs) keep printing money (Ireland does it too). </p>
<p>In order to keep the amount of EUR-money at a constant level, other EUR-countries have to pull out this same amount from the system. So far, the Bundesbank had to sell over 500BLN EUR of their real value assets (that they build up in over 50 years) to pay for that. In fact, this has been a big and unfortunately legal rip off of the Bundesbank by GIIPS CB&#8217;s. And Germany can&#8217;t stand it anymore.</p>
<p>The USA had the same problem in the mid of the 20th century, and made some important rules to stop that (transfer of real value assets as compensation between district CB&#8217;s, no valueless junk bonds).</p>
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		<title>By: PR Guy</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2011/12/06/worse-than-sinn/#comment-206521</link>
		<dc:creator>PR Guy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 08 Dec 2011 14:17:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=12255#comment-206521</guid>
		<description>Peston on Target 2

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-16086672</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Peston on Target 2</p>
<p><a href="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-16086672" rel="nofollow">http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-16086672</a></p>
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		<title>By: grumpy</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2011/12/06/worse-than-sinn/#comment-205944</link>
		<dc:creator>grumpy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Dec 2011 17:57:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=12255#comment-205944</guid>
		<description>@hogan

"You print it - vee vill burn it!" :-)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@hogan</p>
<p>&#8220;You print it - vee vill burn it!&#8221; <img src='http://www.irisheconomy.ie/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':-)' class='wp-smiley' /></p>
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		<title>By: Kevin Donoghue</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2011/12/06/worse-than-sinn/#comment-205936</link>
		<dc:creator>Kevin Donoghue</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Dec 2011 17:37:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=12255#comment-205936</guid>
		<description>@Karl Whelan
Thanks. The creator of the 'shorter' concept delivers again.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@Karl Whelan<br />
Thanks. The creator of the &#8217;shorter&#8217; concept delivers again.</p>
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		<title>By: Karl Whelan</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2011/12/06/worse-than-sinn/#comment-205915</link>
		<dc:creator>Karl Whelan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Dec 2011 17:01:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=12255#comment-205915</guid>
		<description>@KD

Do I agree with dsqaured. Yep, completely.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@KD</p>
<p>Do I agree with dsqaured. Yep, completely.</p>
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		<title>By: Assorted links — Marginal Revolution</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2011/12/06/worse-than-sinn/#comment-205912</link>
		<dc:creator>Assorted links — Marginal Revolution</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Dec 2011 16:59:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=12255#comment-205912</guid>
		<description>[...] 1. How the sellers of wedding dresses limit arbitrage, and is the Target 2 debate all screwed up? [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] 1. How the sellers of wedding dresses limit arbitrage, and is the Target 2 debate all screwed up? [...]</p>
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		<title>By: hoganmahew</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2011/12/06/worse-than-sinn/#comment-205875</link>
		<dc:creator>hoganmahew</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Dec 2011 15:58:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=12255#comment-205875</guid>
		<description>Is it not sterilized through Target2 with the Bundesbank selling assets to mop it up? ;)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Is it not sterilized through Target2 with the Bundesbank selling assets to mop it up? <img src='http://www.irisheconomy.ie/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_wink.gif' alt=';)' class='wp-smiley' /></p>
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		<title>By: grumpy</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2011/12/06/worse-than-sinn/#comment-205845</link>
		<dc:creator>grumpy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Dec 2011 14:54:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=12255#comment-205845</guid>
		<description>@colm

If the govt had issued a gilt instead of writing a promissory note, it would have mopped up actual money from investors. If it then pledged that gilt as collateral in exchange for money from cbi (via Anglo) then that money would go back into the system, via Anglo bondholders etc. Not much difference on balance. 

No gilt was sold though. No money was mopped up to start with. When the cbi handed out money to Anglo it was printing, on the understanding the sterilisation would take place over a length of time according to the repayment schedule for the pro  note. 

Genuine, temporary printing. You can make it permanent by defaulting on the note presumably.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@colm</p>
<p>If the govt had issued a gilt instead of writing a promissory note, it would have mopped up actual money from investors. If it then pledged that gilt as collateral in exchange for money from cbi (via Anglo) then that money would go back into the system, via Anglo bondholders etc. Not much difference on balance. </p>
<p>No gilt was sold though. No money was mopped up to start with. When the cbi handed out money to Anglo it was printing, on the understanding the sterilisation would take place over a length of time according to the repayment schedule for the pro  note. </p>
<p>Genuine, temporary printing. You can make it permanent by defaulting on the note presumably.</p>
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		<title>By: tull mcadoo</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2011/12/06/worse-than-sinn/#comment-205835</link>
		<dc:creator>tull mcadoo</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Dec 2011 14:34:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=12255#comment-205835</guid>
		<description>JR,

jeez, I hope you are not accusing "the core" of racial stereotyping.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>JR,</p>
<p>jeez, I hope you are not accusing &#8220;the core&#8221; of racial stereotyping.</p>
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		<title>By: Gavin Kostick</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2011/12/06/worse-than-sinn/#comment-205825</link>
		<dc:creator>Gavin Kostick</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Dec 2011 14:22:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=12255#comment-205825</guid>
		<description>@ Frank Galton

One of the great puns:

From the biog of the 19th century General Sir Charles James Napier activities in India:

His [Napier's] orders had been only to put down the rebels, and by conquering the whole Sindh Province he greatly exceeded his mandate. Napier was supposed to have despatched to his superiors the short, notable message, "Peccavi", the Latin for "I have sinned" (which was a pun on I have Sindh). This pun appeared in a cartoon in Punch magazine in 1844 beneath a caricature of Charles Napier. The true author of the pun was, however, Catherine Winkworth, an English girl then in her teens, who submitted it to Punch, which then printed it as a factual report.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charles_James_Napier</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@ Frank Galton</p>
<p>One of the great puns:</p>
<p>From the biog of the 19th century General Sir Charles James Napier activities in India:</p>
<p>His [Napier's] orders had been only to put down the rebels, and by conquering the whole Sindh Province he greatly exceeded his mandate. Napier was supposed to have despatched to his superiors the short, notable message, &#8220;Peccavi&#8221;, the Latin for &#8220;I have sinned&#8221; (which was a pun on I have Sindh). This pun appeared in a cartoon in Punch magazine in 1844 beneath a caricature of Charles Napier. The true author of the pun was, however, Catherine Winkworth, an English girl then in her teens, who submitted it to Punch, which then printed it as a factual report.</p>
<p><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charles_James_Napier" rel="nofollow">http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charles_James_Napier</a></p>
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		<title>By: Joseph Ryan</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2011/12/06/worse-than-sinn/#comment-205803</link>
		<dc:creator>Joseph Ryan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Dec 2011 13:47:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=12255#comment-205803</guid>
		<description>This issue is no longer about facts. It is about the deliberate representation of the peripherals as wasters and unnutzen essers.

It is important to note where these kind of misrepresentations are coming from and their purpose. This false propaganda has a willing and attentive audience.

It is important to keep refuting it.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This issue is no longer about facts. It is about the deliberate representation of the peripherals as wasters and unnutzen essers.</p>
<p>It is important to note where these kind of misrepresentations are coming from and their purpose. This false propaganda has a willing and attentive audience.</p>
<p>It is important to keep refuting it.</p>
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		<title>By: Frank Galton</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2011/12/06/worse-than-sinn/#comment-205784</link>
		<dc:creator>Frank Galton</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Dec 2011 13:03:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=12255#comment-205784</guid>
		<description>This post should have been titled Peccavimus.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This post should have been titled Peccavimus.</p>
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		<title>By: Bond. Eoin Bond...</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2011/12/06/worse-than-sinn/#comment-205778</link>
		<dc:creator>Bond. Eoin Bond...</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Dec 2011 12:55:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=12255#comment-205778</guid>
		<description>@ Colm

"Plus interbank borrowing the subject of agreements and supports from other Central Banks including the FED, CB’s of Japan, Canada etc who have to be paid back in dollars for their lending swap supports of European banks, would need a lot more euros to repay their dollar loans given that the euro would fall in value against the dollar"

Its a swap, the amounts for both sides (ie EUR and USD) are the same at start and at maturity, plus a minor, known adjustment.

Also, re "If it were to print money without a brake, inflation would kick in a danger of hyperinflation" - isn't the "without a brake" part the important qualifier?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@ Colm</p>
<p>&#8220;Plus interbank borrowing the subject of agreements and supports from other Central Banks including the FED, CB’s of Japan, Canada etc who have to be paid back in dollars for their lending swap supports of European banks, would need a lot more euros to repay their dollar loans given that the euro would fall in value against the dollar&#8221;</p>
<p>Its a swap, the amounts for both sides (ie EUR and USD) are the same at start and at maturity, plus a minor, known adjustment.</p>
<p>Also, re &#8220;If it were to print money without a brake, inflation would kick in a danger of hyperinflation&#8221; - isn&#8217;t the &#8220;without a brake&#8221; part the important qualifier?</p>
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		<title>By: Target2 &#8211; The Zombie Returns &#124; Economics Intelligence</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2011/12/06/worse-than-sinn/#comment-205716</link>
		<dc:creator>Target2 &#8211; The Zombie Returns &#124; Economics Intelligence</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Dec 2011 11:01:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=12255#comment-205716</guid>
		<description>[...] Whelan debunks the  arguments by Tornell and Westermann convincingly in a piece entitled &#8220;Worse than Sinn&#8221;. His conclusion is straightforward: &#8220;this piece has even less to add (and more to subtract, [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] Whelan debunks the  arguments by Tornell and Westermann convincingly in a piece entitled &#8220;Worse than Sinn&#8221;. His conclusion is straightforward: &#8220;this piece has even less to add (and more to subtract, [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Colm Brazel</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2011/12/06/worse-than-sinn/#comment-205687</link>
		<dc:creator>Colm Brazel</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Dec 2011 10:04:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=12255#comment-205687</guid>
		<description>more paranoid psychosis here :-)

http://politicalhumor.about.com/library/bl-economic-cartoons.htm?PS=6%3A27</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>more paranoid psychosis here <img src='http://www.irisheconomy.ie/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':-)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
<p><a href="http://politicalhumor.about.com/library/bl-economic-cartoons.htm?PS=6%3A27" rel="nofollow">http://politicalhumor.about.com/library/bl-economic-cartoons.htm?PS=6%3A27</a></p>
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		<title>By: Colm Brazel</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2011/12/06/worse-than-sinn/#comment-205686</link>
		<dc:creator>Colm Brazel</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Dec 2011 09:59:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=12255#comment-205686</guid>
		<description>@ Karl,

&lt;blockquote&gt;In relation to my answer to DB, even a collateralised loan can be described as “pure money printing” and there’s nothing in the mandate of the ECB — beyond its price stability mandate — that limits the amount of money it can create. &lt;/blockquote&gt;

That was my understanding as you have clarified in your par before the second par quote above. Basically the promissory note is the collateral, a promise us taxpayers will pay it back some way, maybe give them some islands also or transfer over some other state assets, most likely though taxpayers to pay through the nose for this.

But I disagree with paragraph above. As far as I know in Stability Growth Pact under ECB mandate, it has a governing mandate above all to reduce inflation. If it were to print money without a brake, inflation would kick in a danger of hyperinflation. Plus interbank borrowing the subject of agreements and supports from other Central Banks including the FED, CB's of Japan, Canada etc who have to be paid back in dollars for their lending swap supports of European banks, would need a lot more euros to repay their dollar loans given that the euro would fall in value against the dollar. Plus Trichet has warned also of this 'race to the bottom' and is the reason for his lack of support and criticism of FED QE1/QE2

political cartoons :-) http://politicalhumor.about.com/library/bl-economic-cartoons.htm?PS=6%3A21</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@ Karl,</p>
<blockquote><p>In relation to my answer to DB, even a collateralised loan can be described as “pure money printing” and there’s nothing in the mandate of the ECB — beyond its price stability mandate — that limits the amount of money it can create. </p></blockquote>
<p>That was my understanding as you have clarified in your par before the second par quote above. Basically the promissory note is the collateral, a promise us taxpayers will pay it back some way, maybe give them some islands also or transfer over some other state assets, most likely though taxpayers to pay through the nose for this.</p>
<p>But I disagree with paragraph above. As far as I know in Stability Growth Pact under ECB mandate, it has a governing mandate above all to reduce inflation. If it were to print money without a brake, inflation would kick in a danger of hyperinflation. Plus interbank borrowing the subject of agreements and supports from other Central Banks including the FED, CB&#8217;s of Japan, Canada etc who have to be paid back in dollars for their lending swap supports of European banks, would need a lot more euros to repay their dollar loans given that the euro would fall in value against the dollar. Plus Trichet has warned also of this &#8216;race to the bottom&#8217; and is the reason for his lack of support and criticism of FED QE1/QE2</p>
<p>political cartoons <img src='http://www.irisheconomy.ie/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':-)' class='wp-smiley' /> <a href="http://politicalhumor.about.com/library/bl-economic-cartoons.htm?PS=6%3A21" rel="nofollow">http://politicalhumor.about.com/library/bl-economic-cartoons.htm?PS=6%3A21</a></p>
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		<title>By: hoganmahew</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2011/12/06/worse-than-sinn/#comment-205685</link>
		<dc:creator>hoganmahew</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Dec 2011 09:59:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=12255#comment-205685</guid>
		<description>Oops, "direct loans to banking system from ECB"...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Oops, &#8220;direct loans to banking system from ECB&#8221;&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: hoganmahew</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2011/12/06/worse-than-sinn/#comment-205684</link>
		<dc:creator>hoganmahew</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Dec 2011 09:59:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=12255#comment-205684</guid>
		<description>@tull
That's why we are not going to be kicked out... nor Greece neither, a least, not until someone is prepared to swallow those and other losses (direct loans from banking system to ELA).</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@tull<br />
That&#8217;s why we are not going to be kicked out&#8230; nor Greece neither, a least, not until someone is prepared to swallow those and other losses (direct loans from banking system to ELA).</p>
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		<title>By: tull mcadoo</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2011/12/06/worse-than-sinn/#comment-205681</link>
		<dc:creator>tull mcadoo</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Dec 2011 09:53:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=12255#comment-205681</guid>
		<description>Karl,

hypothetical question: what would be the implications for the BUBA if the Euro broke up and the porcines left and devalued by 30-40%?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Karl,</p>
<p>hypothetical question: what would be the implications for the BUBA if the Euro broke up and the porcines left and devalued by 30-40%?</p>
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		<title>By: jmg</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2011/12/06/worse-than-sinn/#comment-205679</link>
		<dc:creator>jmg</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Dec 2011 09:51:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=12255#comment-205679</guid>
		<description>@hoganmahew
On bank note issue in the eurosystem, take a look at 
John Whittaker: "Eurosystem debts, Greece, and the role of banknotes"
LINK: http://www.lancs.ac.uk/staff/whittaj1/eurosystemNov2011.pdf
"The inclusion of debts arising from banknote flows makes a notable difference to the overall magnitudes of these debts, compared with
the TARGET2 positions alone."
See table 2 on page 3.

The Bundesbank and the Banque de Luxembourg are now the printing press central banks in the eurosystem. 
Whittaker,page 3:"Around 98% of the Luxembourg note issue is in high value notes."</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@hoganmahew<br />
On bank note issue in the eurosystem, take a look at<br />
John Whittaker: &#8220;Eurosystem debts, Greece, and the role of banknotes&#8221;<br />
LINK: <a href="http://www.lancs.ac.uk/staff/whittaj1/eurosystemNov2011.pdf" rel="nofollow">http://www.lancs.ac.uk/staff/whittaj1/eurosystemNov2011.pdf</a><br />
&#8220;The inclusion of debts arising from banknote flows makes a notable difference to the overall magnitudes of these debts, compared with<br />
the TARGET2 positions alone.&#8221;<br />
See table 2 on page 3.</p>
<p>The Bundesbank and the Banque de Luxembourg are now the printing press central banks in the eurosystem.<br />
Whittaker,page 3:&#8221;Around 98% of the Luxembourg note issue is in high value notes.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>By: Karl Whelan</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2011/12/06/worse-than-sinn/#comment-205677</link>
		<dc:creator>Karl Whelan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Dec 2011 09:47:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=12255#comment-205677</guid>
		<description>@ Phil

"Sorry but this critique mistakes the TW paper and blows smoke on the issue. Felix Salmon also mis-summarizes the TW paper a little."

Felix summarises the paper just fine. It's you that seems to have invented some different version of the TW paper to defend.

Here's what you say is going on:

"the Bundesbank is not taking GIIPS bank liabilities or taking GIIPS exposure - it takes ECB exposure, which is different. The problem in the mix is that the ECB is still taking GIIPS collateral and putting itself in a position to have to monetize the collateral gap."

That's a reasonable summary.

Here's what TW are saying:

"To fund these loans, GIIPS central banks borrowed mainly – via the ECB – from other central banks, in particular the Bundesbank. In order to fund these loans, the Bundesbank sold its holdings of German assets."

That's not true at all.

Maybe you think there's some underlying issue that should be discussed (e.g. problems with ECB collateral standards) but defending a paper that's full of false claims isn't a good way to have that debate.

But I agree with you that people should read the paper slowly and decide for themselves.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@ Phil</p>
<p>&#8220;Sorry but this critique mistakes the TW paper and blows smoke on the issue. Felix Salmon also mis-summarizes the TW paper a little.&#8221;</p>
<p>Felix summarises the paper just fine. It&#8217;s you that seems to have invented some different version of the TW paper to defend.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s what you say is going on:</p>
<p>&#8220;the Bundesbank is not taking GIIPS bank liabilities or taking GIIPS exposure - it takes ECB exposure, which is different. The problem in the mix is that the ECB is still taking GIIPS collateral and putting itself in a position to have to monetize the collateral gap.&#8221;</p>
<p>That&#8217;s a reasonable summary.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s what TW are saying:</p>
<p>&#8220;To fund these loans, GIIPS central banks borrowed mainly – via the ECB – from other central banks, in particular the Bundesbank. In order to fund these loans, the Bundesbank sold its holdings of German assets.&#8221;</p>
<p>That&#8217;s not true at all.</p>
<p>Maybe you think there&#8217;s some underlying issue that should be discussed (e.g. problems with ECB collateral standards) but defending a paper that&#8217;s full of false claims isn&#8217;t a good way to have that debate.</p>
<p>But I agree with you that people should read the paper slowly and decide for themselves.</p>
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		<title>By: Eamonn Moran</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2011/12/06/worse-than-sinn/#comment-205675</link>
		<dc:creator>Eamonn Moran</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Dec 2011 09:45:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=12255#comment-205675</guid>
		<description>@ Karl
I was watching newsnight last night and I am nearly sure the German representative was spouting some of the "Bundesbank has in effect lent billions to peripheral nations" story.

From your piece in June
"In this sense, the Bundesbank is not owed money by the Central Bank of Ireland. It is owed money by the ECB. If the Irish Central Bank refused to pay, it would be the ECB on the hook, not the Bundesbank. The Bundesbank can only lose money if the ECB refuses to pay it back."

I think the problem here is that many Germans still believe that the ECB don't print money and that every cent they give out is backed up.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@ Karl<br />
I was watching newsnight last night and I am nearly sure the German representative was spouting some of the &#8220;Bundesbank has in effect lent billions to peripheral nations&#8221; story.</p>
<p>From your piece in June<br />
&#8220;In this sense, the Bundesbank is not owed money by the Central Bank of Ireland. It is owed money by the ECB. If the Irish Central Bank refused to pay, it would be the ECB on the hook, not the Bundesbank. The Bundesbank can only lose money if the ECB refuses to pay it back.&#8221;</p>
<p>I think the problem here is that many Germans still believe that the ECB don&#8217;t print money and that every cent they give out is backed up.</p>
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		<title>By: Kevin Donoghue</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2011/12/06/worse-than-sinn/#comment-205671</link>
		<dc:creator>Kevin Donoghue</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Dec 2011 09:28:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=12255#comment-205671</guid>
		<description>From hoganmahew's link: "Correlation doesn't imply causation, but it does waggle its eyebrows suggestively and gesture furtively while mouthing 'look over there'."

Nice one.

Because I'm lazy and because Karl Whelan seems happy to answer questions which permit yes/no answers, I'd like to know whether he agrees with dsquared's comment. Since they are both shrewd former central bank economists I'm inclined to take it that, if they are in agreement, then they are right.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>From hoganmahew&#8217;s link: &#8220;Correlation doesn&#8217;t imply causation, but it does waggle its eyebrows suggestively and gesture furtively while mouthing &#8216;look over there&#8217;.&#8221;</p>
<p>Nice one.</p>
<p>Because I&#8217;m lazy and because Karl Whelan seems happy to answer questions which permit yes/no answers, I&#8217;d like to know whether he agrees with dsquared&#8217;s comment. Since they are both shrewd former central bank economists I&#8217;m inclined to take it that, if they are in agreement, then they are right.</p>
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		<title>By: hoganmahew</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2011/12/06/worse-than-sinn/#comment-205668</link>
		<dc:creator>hoganmahew</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Dec 2011 09:25:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=12255#comment-205668</guid>
		<description>By the way, I'd still like to know what the initial Target2 balances were set at. Did they account for flows that had already happened? If not, then the current balances are entirely artificial. If they did, then the current balances indicate how much Germany has benefitted from the EU single market...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>By the way, I&#8217;d still like to know what the initial Target2 balances were set at. Did they account for flows that had already happened? If not, then the current balances are entirely artificial. If they did, then the current balances indicate how much Germany has benefitted from the EU single market&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: hoganmahew</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2011/12/06/worse-than-sinn/#comment-205659</link>
		<dc:creator>hoganmahew</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Dec 2011 09:04:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=12255#comment-205659</guid>
		<description>@Karl Whelan
Thank you for that. So, if anything, what the figures show is a decline in liquidity in the German zone - the need for the Bundesbank to drain liquidity has declined.

What's interesting, though, is that the Bundesbank appears to be literally printing money - look at the expansion of the base notes. 

My own favourite:
http://xkcd.com/552/</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@Karl Whelan<br />
Thank you for that. So, if anything, what the figures show is a decline in liquidity in the German zone - the need for the Bundesbank to drain liquidity has declined.</p>
<p>What&#8217;s interesting, though, is that the Bundesbank appears to be literally printing money - look at the expansion of the base notes. </p>
<p>My own favourite:<br />
<a href="http://xkcd.com/552/" rel="nofollow">http://xkcd.com/552/</a></p>
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		<title>By: dsquared</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2011/12/06/worse-than-sinn/#comment-205653</link>
		<dc:creator>dsquared</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Dec 2011 08:56:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=12255#comment-205653</guid>
		<description>As far as I can see, the root of the confusion here is to treat the European Central Bank as a meaningless conduit between the Bundesbank and the Central Bank of Ireland.  The ECB doesn't "borrow from the Bundesbank" in order to create lending balances in Ireland (it's a central bank, not a bank), and so there is no need for the Bundesbank to "finance its lending" to the ECB.  I think T&#38;W have accurately characterised what the problem would be if Europe was on a gold standard and the ECB was the London Clearing House, but that's not the case.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As far as I can see, the root of the confusion here is to treat the European Central Bank as a meaningless conduit between the Bundesbank and the Central Bank of Ireland.  The ECB doesn&#8217;t &#8220;borrow from the Bundesbank&#8221; in order to create lending balances in Ireland (it&#8217;s a central bank, not a bank), and so there is no need for the Bundesbank to &#8220;finance its lending&#8221; to the ECB.  I think T&amp;W have accurately characterised what the problem would be if Europe was on a gold standard and the ECB was the London Clearing House, but that&#8217;s not the case.</p>
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		<title>By: Karl Whelan</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2011/12/06/worse-than-sinn/#comment-205630</link>
		<dc:creator>Karl Whelan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Dec 2011 07:54:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=12255#comment-205630</guid>
		<description>@ Colm

The ELA is collateralised by the promissory notes and various promises from the Minister of Finance.  ELA differs from other CB loans in that it relies on collateral that is not on the Eurosystem's eligible collateral list.

In relation to my answer to DB, even a collateralised loan can be described as "pure money printing" and there's nothing in the mandate of the ECB -- beyond its price stability mandate -- that limits the amount of money it can create.  Anyway, his two other options certainly weren't correct.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@ Colm</p>
<p>The ELA is collateralised by the promissory notes and various promises from the Minister of Finance.  ELA differs from other CB loans in that it relies on collateral that is not on the Eurosystem&#8217;s eligible collateral list.</p>
<p>In relation to my answer to DB, even a collateralised loan can be described as &#8220;pure money printing&#8221; and there&#8217;s nothing in the mandate of the ECB &#8212; beyond its price stability mandate &#8212; that limits the amount of money it can create.  Anyway, his two other options certainly weren&#8217;t correct.</p>
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		<title>By: Phil</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2011/12/06/worse-than-sinn/#comment-205604</link>
		<dc:creator>Phil</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Dec 2011 06:33:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=12255#comment-205604</guid>
		<description>Sorry but this critique mistakes the TW paper and blows smoke on the issue.  Felix Salmon also mis-summarizes the TW paper a little.  It's rational for Germany to swap euro denominated private sector assets for liabilities owed by the ECB, because the ECB is the best possible euro credit - it can always repay any debt in Euros. And the Bundesbank is not taking GIIPS bank liabilities or taking GIIPS exposure - it takes ECB exposure, which is different. The problem in the mix is that the ECB is still taking GIIPS collateral and putting itself in a position to have to monetize the collateral gap.  But the Bundesbank will lose either way if they hold Euro denominated private assets or ECB liabilities - so they might as well take the best euro denominated credit risk - the ECB. And they won't sell their gold or foreign currency reserves simply because they're not euro denominated - not because the Bundesbank is a gold bug. 

The point about German banks no longer needing funding is consistent with the TW story.  In fact they actually specifically provide an example of euros flowing from a Greek bank to a German bank to explain the situation they are highlighting. Two sides of the same coin. 

People should read the TW paper themselves on Voxeu.org, slowly, and make their own conclusions. It's all there.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Sorry but this critique mistakes the TW paper and blows smoke on the issue.  Felix Salmon also mis-summarizes the TW paper a little.  It&#8217;s rational for Germany to swap euro denominated private sector assets for liabilities owed by the ECB, because the ECB is the best possible euro credit - it can always repay any debt in Euros. And the Bundesbank is not taking GIIPS bank liabilities or taking GIIPS exposure - it takes ECB exposure, which is different. The problem in the mix is that the ECB is still taking GIIPS collateral and putting itself in a position to have to monetize the collateral gap.  But the Bundesbank will lose either way if they hold Euro denominated private assets or ECB liabilities - so they might as well take the best euro denominated credit risk - the ECB. And they won&#8217;t sell their gold or foreign currency reserves simply because they&#8217;re not euro denominated - not because the Bundesbank is a gold bug. </p>
<p>The point about German banks no longer needing funding is consistent with the TW story.  In fact they actually specifically provide an example of euros flowing from a Greek bank to a German bank to explain the situation they are highlighting. Two sides of the same coin. </p>
<p>People should read the TW paper themselves on Voxeu.org, slowly, and make their own conclusions. It&#8217;s all there.</p>
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		<title>By: PR Guy</title>
		<link>http://www.irisheconomy.ie/index.php/2011/12/06/worse-than-sinn/#comment-205564</link>
		<dc:creator>PR Guy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Dec 2011 05:30:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.irisheconomy.ie/?p=12255#comment-205564</guid>
		<description>Thanks for the education there Prof. Whelan. I thought that didn't sound right... 

'German CB sells perfectly good assets to keep PIIGS in clover and now faces disaster' is the kind of thing a journalist makes up.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks for the education there Prof. Whelan. I thought that didn&#8217;t sound right&#8230; </p>
<p>&#8216;German CB sells perfectly good assets to keep PIIGS in clover and now faces disaster&#8217; is the kind of thing a journalist makes up.</p>
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