Aviation conferences and meetings in November

The 2015 meeting of the European Aviation Conference (EAC) will take place this year in Cranfield University on November 19th and 20th. Academics, business and industry figures will debate whether the momentum behind airline liberalisation over past decades is now spent, as some evidence suggests.

The conference programme may be inspected and a booking made on the conference website.

Preceding the EAC will be the 2nd COST Workshop on Air Transport, Regional Development, Airport Hubs & Connectivity, which will take place at the University of West London (17 November) and Cranfield University (18 November). The program for the Workshop is available on the German Aviation Research Society (GARS) website where, as always, aviation-research-related information is updated continuously; see www.garsonline.de

By Cathal Guiomard

Cathal Guiomard is a Lecturer in Aviation Management in DCU. Between 2006 and 2014, he was Ireland's Commissioner for Aviation.

14 replies on “Aviation conferences and meetings in November”

No posts on this site since 30 October, and only a handful of comments since then. Must be down to having the fastest growing economy in Europe (by some distance) and surging tax revenues. if only some catastrophe would strike, we could all get back to revelling in it.

I think the problem might be that the moderator just got appointed Governor of the CBI and hasn’t to my knowledge passed the reins on to anyone else.

I volunteer for the job. 😉

@ninap

The fastest growing economy is Europe is not worth jacksh$it to the majority of Dublin tenants who have been hit with 35% rent increases over the past three years.

The latest FG proposal is that landlords will have to agree to flog the tenants on a bi-annual basis rather than annually. For such an imposition on landlord freedom, they will be allowed 100% interest relief on borrowings, and developers will be given freebies on all levies (which they will immediately pocket, while continuing to gouge price increases.

The recovery is absolutely fabulous, for those on the right side of it, particularly FG supported property interests.
As Tom Parlon (now CIF chief) might say, welcome to Parlon country.

To view the extent that urban Ireland has become landlord country, the CSO link is a good start.
http://www.cso.ie/en/census/census2011reports/census2011profile4theroofoverourheads-housinginireland/

@ ninap

Are you sure? Check the thread on “austerity”. Aviation is a specialist interest.

If the situation is as rosy as you think it is, why is the government at sixes and sevens and at a point in the polls which suggests that the parties involved would be incapable of forming a new one?

Greetings all.

I’m in Lisbon for a conference. I flew (so that’s a tenuous link with the topic of the thread). Got here just a year ahead of the Web Summit (although my conference is a mini-one compared with the Web Summit).

Thought I might do a little advance research for any posters planning to go to the Web summit next year. My (initial) impressions:

On negative side:

(1) Portugal’s economy hasn’t grown at all since 2000 (Ireland’s up 60%). And it shows. Very little new building. General air of lack of prosperity and growth.

(2) My hotel costs 220 euros per night (although I’m not paying for it). Petrol is slightly more expensive than in UK/Ireland. Taxi was 30% cheaper than UK. My one course meal (sea bass and salad) yesterday afternoon cost 28 euros. Probably on average a bit cheaper than UK/Ireland, but not that much. Although my sample is biased as I don’t drink alcohol and apparently its very cheap here.

(3) Bad traffic jams (driver said it was untypical and due to accident) on taxi ride from CasCais to Lisbon last night.

On positive side:

(4) Sunny and not a cloud in sky this morning and temperature forecast to hit 75F today.

(5) Don’t have to listen to the conference organisers bleating on and on about the evils of the Government here (actually there isn’t one at present) and the Catholic Church.

You pays your money and takes your choice.

@ JTO

I wonder will Cosgrave’s moaning get be followed by a national self deprecate-aton in Portugal. A leftwing government might land him with a special narcasisitc ego-maniac tax.

@ Ninap & JTO

The central bank rules are having the desired impact.They’re forcing the governemnt to deal with the issue of cost, instead of papering over the problem by piling debt on the young.

Here’s hoping Philip doesn’t buckle.

As regards rent, the two year review is the thin end of the wedge. The argument is settled. In that high rent inflation warrants government intervention.

@ThatsLegal

But, so far, despite the efforts of Patrick Honan and Alan Kelly, there has been no sign of house prices falling and in the past 2 months they’ve accelerated. Meantime the shortage of new houses is worsening. If you get socialist policies, you get socialist shrtage.

With regard to the Web Summit, I fully support the right of the Web Summit founder to hold his conference wherever he likes. However, I can anticipate several problems when it’s in Lisbon next year.

First, Lisbon airport. I arrived at Terminal 2 , Lisbon airport, last night at 5pm for a 7.45pm flight to Gatwick. Talk about overcrowding. There were at twice as many passengers as seats. I had to sit on a very crowded floor for almost 3 hours. I’ve no idea if this was an exceptional occurrence due to freak factors or if Terminal 1 is better. But, my experience of Terminal 2 last night was horrendous.

Second, profile. It will have a very low profile in Lisbon. Nobody I spoke to had ever heard of it or knew anything about it coming to Lisbon. Most Portugeese speak little English. in addition, the computer software industry is minuscule in Portugal compared with Ireland. It would be like having the European Wine-Makers conference moving to Dublin. In Portugal the Web Summit may get coverage in the specialist media or on the business pages of the newspapers, but you can rest assured the main tv station won’t be opening a blog tracking the days events (like RTE did) and whatshisname won’t be getting an invite to Portugal’s equivalent of the LateLate show.

Third, crooked taxi divers. I agreed a fee in advance with a taxi driver of 100 euros to take me to Nazaire for a few hours and then to Lisbon airport by 5pm. In fact, it was him who offered it, my having utilised his services earlier in the week. A few miles from the airport, he suddenly upped it to 150 euros.

Having said that, the delegates may well have a very nice time in the sunshine, but as a business event, I doubt it will be as successful as in Dublin.

@That’s Legal

Rent is the symptom,-Irish property lease law is the disease. Ireland is the most anti-tenant country in the world–courtesy of Leinster House. The greatest bank crash in the history of mankind started with one house–Leinster House.

@ Joseph Ryan. Rents may have risen in the past 3 years but they fell heavily in the 3 years before that. That’s what happens in a free market in response to shifting demand and a relatively fixed supply. What will rent controls do to improve supply? I challenge you to give a reasoned answer.

@ JtO: you seem to have paid about 200% more for meals and accomodation than I generally do in Lisbon. Avoid the tourist traps and eat with the locals.

And just to stay on Topic: what do you think that Government controls and regulation would do to air fares? Maybe there is a lesson here for rent controllers.

@JTO

Whatever property price inflation you have it will always be greater with more/easier credit. I think 3.5/4 imes ones individual/family income should be enough debt to take on to secure a home. I’m sure it wasn’t much more in your day John.

We could go back to 8 times income and 110% equity and keep making debt slaves out of our young. So they can live in a 50sqm fire hazards for a mere 500k. But we can’t afford to clean up after another one of those. We just about survived the last one.

The focus should be put on reducing the cost of building. Government are now responding. According to many in the industry there’s plenty of room for them to act. And indeed they are acting. So the central bank policy is having the desired effect.

On the web submit.

Considering the not insignifant backing they got in Ireland, why not work with people to help themselves and others. I’m sure they had no shortage of goodwill. Though they’ve burnt through a good chunk now. I see the decision as short sighted and not without its risks. Political instability being one.

I’m not convinced some of the reasons they cite for leaving were crucial to the decision. Perhaps they just fed them to the self loating Irish media industrial complex for fear of being called greedy if they came clean and said it was all about money.

@John Sheehan

“What will rent controls do to improve supply?”

The purpose of rent controls is not to increase supply. It is to prevent rent gouging on existing properties.

Further, considering that landlords have had 35% increases in the past three years, tracker interest reductions to near zero in the past five years, while all the time house completions have continued to fall, I cannot see why rent controls will damage the supply line at all.

Further again, if the absence of rental controls, ie rent increases will improve supply, can you put a figure on the number of additional properties that will be constructed in Dublin in the next three years, and the percentage rental increases that it will take to ‘incentivise’ such construction.
Perhaps then, we can evaluate whether the number of houses constructed will compensate for the rental increases to be paid by tenants and the resulting loss of competitiveness and diminution of living standards that such rental increases will entail.
As it happens, in the tussle between the Minister for Landlords and the Minister for Tenants, I happen to be on the side of the tenants; and I have yet to see a landlord with a trowel in his hand.

@ Joseph Ryan:

I never expected that my somewhat rhetorical question “What will rent controls do to increase supply?” would be taken so literally and absolutely. My contention is that rent controls will in all probability reduce the available supply of rented property, which means that in the absence of such controls supply would probably be greater. It’s a matter of one situation relative to another.

Low near-zero tracker mortgage rates are largely irrelevant: they are not available for new construction. Likewise the fall n house construction since 2008 has more to do with history, i.e. the pre-2008 bubble, than anything else.

In the present very uncertain environment for investment in residential property is would be very difficult to construct a model which would accurately predict the effect of rentals on supply. All I know is that history and economic logic tell us that stopping the price mechanism from functioning is likely to produce some pretty undesirable outcomes.

Probably slightly off-topic: but who knows? “Phishing for Phools: the economics of manipulation and deception”. Akerloff + Shiller. 2015. Princeton U Press. Hardback, aprox 25 euro inc. p+p from Amazon.

I’d have a few bones to pick with these guys about their economic beliefs, but they have some controversial (non-mainstream neoclassical) things to say about the operations of some sectors: ie. pharma; tobacco + alcohol; politics; food; credit cards and housing. ie: caveat emptor/caveat venditor.

I would recommend this book to readers. It is well written, easy to read, has a Notes section and an extensive bibliography.

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