Forecasting the European Parliament Elections

2009 is an important year for the European political process. In addition to the Lisbon II referendum, we also have European Parliament elections.  Michael Marsh of TCD and Simon Hix of LSE will be providing regular forecasts of the likely electoral outcome, with the first set of predictions released today.

The Irish forecast is here.

The full forecast is here.

3 replies on “Forecasting the European Parliament Elections”

Rubbish. FF will be wiped out. I will eat my hat if they get anything like 30% of the vote. My prediction is between 20%-25%.

I know even die hard FF supporters who will either not vote or switch to FG or Labour or worse SF.

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