Elderfield on Resolution

Thanks to Karl for the link to the transcript of Mr. Elderfield’s appearance before the Oireachtas Committee in the post below.  There is clearly a great deal that is of interest in the transcript, and it might be useful to develop some separate threads.  

One part of the transcript worth highlighting is Mr Elderfield’s responses to questions on the need for a resolution regime.  These responses came in exchanges with Deputies O’Donnell and Varadkar.   I have included the relevant extracts after the break. 

It is encouraging to see Mr. Elderfield engaging with the resolution regime question.   It is also hard to argue with his portrayal of the complexity of the issue, and with the legal challenges in particular.  While we must sympathise with how much he has had to deal with since taking the job, I am still struck by the lack of urgency he appears to give to the need for a resolution regime to limit the extent of the creditor bailout. 

Mr. Elderfield is understandably taking a forward-looking approach, and is concentrating on putting in place a regulatory regime that limits systemic risk, including consequent future liabilities to the exchequer.  This is indeed essential.   Maybe I am naive, but I think the risk of Irish banks engaging in reckless lending in the near term is low.   How we allocate the losses associated with the reckless lending of the past is still a live issue, however, and should be higher on the list of Mr. Elderfield’s priorities.   We should be focused on how we can draw on international best practice to have a regime ready for when the guarantee expires so that losses can be fairly shared with long-maturity investors. It is as if we are out in the workshop building a state-of-the-art new door, all the while the horses are still bolting. 

Elderfield at the Regulatory Committee

The transcript of Matthew Elderfield’s appearance at the Oireachtas Committee on Economic Regulatory Affairs is here. Reading over the answers, this was clearly a very impressive performance by Mr. Elderfield, one that signalled a break from past practices and attitudes in a number of ways. There are a couple of issues arising from Mr. Elderfield’s comments that I would like to discuss at greater length but don’t have time to discuss now, so for the moment I’ll leave it to our commenters to dig through the transcript for interesting material.

Wave power again

Breda O’Brien argues that it is high time to gamble on wave power in today’s Irish Times.

She hails Danish wind power as an example. The Danes heavily invested in wind power for two decades before benefiting handsomely from German subsidies. The Danes were alone for a long time, while Irish wave power lags behind Scotland, the USA, and Portugal. And other renewables are far ahead of wave power. It is a gamble indeed.

O’Brien argues that wave power will bring a substantial amount of jobs in construction and manufacturing. That may be. Wave power devices have heavy and simple components that are best built close to the shore off which they are deployed. Wave power will be first commercialized in Ireland, if anywhere, because our waves are the best in the world. Those construction jobs will come to Ireland regardless of who invented the technology.

O’Brien picks a winner. That is best left to the market. We should prepare ourselves for a range of possible futures rather than pretend that we can accurately predict technological change and develop skills  to match our preferred forecast.

“Liberalism in Crisis” Symposium

The Department of Sociology and the National Institute for Regional and Spatial Analysis at NUI Maynooth are holding a symposium on May 6th on “Liberalism in Crisis: US, UK and Ireland”. The conference is free but we are asking that people register before Wednesday April 30th.

Registration form and details at:

http://sociology.nuim.ie/LiberalismInCrisis.shtml

Further details of the event below the fold

Sovereign Risk in Europe and the Euro Area

The IIEA and Law Society are running a seminar on April 26th on this topic  – details here.  Among the speakers is Lee Buchheit who was a leader in sovereign debt restructuring in the 1980s and 1990s and is currently representing Iceland in the Icesave dispute with the Dutch and UK governments.

Reminder:  Bob Aliber talk on financial crises in TCD tomorrow Friday, 12.30-2, Room 3051, Arts Block.

Update:  Aliber seminar will be held in IIIS seminar room, not Room 3051.