“If they saw the enormity of it upfront . . . they might decide they have a choice”

The Irish Independent carries the story of recorded conversations in 2008 between Anglo Irish executives. The tone of the calls is really shocking, leading to widespread domestic opprobrium. The international reaction has been split. Jamie Smyth in the FT makes the case for a banking inquiry, while Sam Cage at Reuters pushes the party political angle. Listening to the tapes, it’s hard not to get very annoyed. Here from the FT article is an excerpt of the conversation. The bankers are discussing how best to extract the maximum monies from the State.

“The strategy here is you pull them in, you get them to write a big cheque and they have to keep – they have to support their money,” Mr Bowe said in the recorded call, when explaining why the bank had asked Ireland’s Central Bank to provide €7bn in aid when, in fact, he believed Anglo Irish required much more.

“If they saw the enormity of it upfront . . . they might decide they have a choice,” said Mr Bowe. “They might say the cost to the taxpayer is too high.”

They might have indeed.

The Anglo tapes, in one sense, describe nothing new: we already knew bankers were aware of the possible losses at Anglo, and mislead senior policy makers in 2008 as to the extent of the losses. What we didn’t know—and still don’t—is how common this reprehensible behavior was across our banking system.

Anglo is the bad boy of Irish banking, but readers should remember it was bailed out with money borrowed by the State at ECB rates. AIB, which swallowed almost as much capital as Anglo, did so at a much higher relative cost to the taxpayer in terms of cost of capital. Were executives at AIB, Bank of Ireland, and other banks, similarly aware of possible losses in their banks around the same time as these tapes were made? If so, did they deliberately mislead officials when meeting them over a possible bank guarantee? Were any officials within the Department of Finance, or the Department of the Taoiseach, similarly aware of a divergence between what the banks were saying around this time?

These and other questions have not been answered. We have had three reports into what happened in the lead up to the collapse, each giving possible reasons for why the banking collapse happened. Each report has been excellent within its limited terms of reference. Despite these reports, we have not had any satisfactory answers to simple questions revolving around a central theme: who knew what, and when?

Gangsta rapper Dr Dre revamps Clonakilty set-up

No really.

Never ending Irish success?

Paul Krugman has a thoughtful post (ht Niamh Hardiman) on Ireland’s role as poster child for austerity. He points out that those in power continually cite Ireland’s imminent recovery as proof things are getting better and sticking to their plan works. Paul doesn’t mention our lack of fiscal headroom or the need for fiscal consolidation of *some* kind–whatever that might be-but I think it’s implicit.

At any rate, his point is more about how Ireland is used as an example of what great things austerity policies can achieve, when clearly, they can’t. At least, not on their own.

Social Consequences of Austerity Livestream

The Challenges of Public Private Partnerships in Turbulent Times

A Half-Day Seminar with Networking Reception

Wednesday, May 29th 2013, 14h00 – 17h00.

Department of Economics, University of Limerick

The ‘Stimulus Plan’ announced by the Irish Government in July 2012 places Public Private Partnerships at the heart of plans for national economic recovery. The majority of projects earmarked for investment under the €2.25bn plan will be procured under PPP. However, mobilising a renewed wave of PPP procurement in Ireland will be challenging for reasons such as constraints on the availability of private finance and the complexities of procurement under PPP.

The Challenges of PPP in Turbulent Times seminar will bring together academics, public sector procurers and private sector participants to explore the challenges involved in a new wave of PPP procurement in Ireland. The seminar will be jointly hosted by the Privatisation and PPP Research Group at the Department of Economics, University of Limerick and the Cornell Program in Infrastructure Policy at Cornell University, USA.

Speakers on the day include:

Professor Rick Geddes, Cornell University, USA;

Professor Edgar Morgenroth, Economic and Social Research Institute;

Mr. Brian Murphy, Chief Executive Officer, National Development Finance Agency;

Dr. Eoin Reeves, University of Limerick.

For more information contact privatisation@ul.ie, pdf of the programme is here.