Economic Letters from Central Bank

Economic Letter – Vol 2012, No. 7
Fiscal Consolidation – Does it deliver? – Laura Weymes

Economic Letter – Vol 2012, No. 6
Housing equity withdrawal in Ireland: 2000 – 2011 – Reamonn Lydon & Niall O’Hanlon

Rajoy must enact a radical plan for Spain

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde and Luis Garicano lay out the necessary steps in this FT op-ed.

ECB limited and conditional lending is not ‘what it takes’

Pierro Ghezzi is one of the smartest City-based economists – he has a new VOX article here.

UK Deficit Reduction

In February 2010, 20 Economists wrote to the British Chancellor to urge a speedier deficit reduction. The New Statesman followed them up for an article recently to ask if their views have changed. The responses are interesting.

Charles Wyplosz on Italy’s “Bad Equilibrium”

Charles Wyplosz issues a stark warning here – a warning well worth heeding.  

But is he too pessimistic?    The fact is that the ECB has the power to cap bond yields.   With bond yields capped at a reasonably low level – say 4.5 percent – the Italian government should be able to avoid default, even with a formal adjustment programme of structural reforms and fiscal adjustments.   I doubt the programme would have to involve much beyond what the country is already doing.   Mario Draghi has held out the promise – albeit maybe a bit too vaguely – of such support in return for conditionality.   All sides have to move.