A smart economy is a green economy

A green new deal (US), green collar jobs (UK), a smart economy is a green economy (Eire) — slogans are one thing, but now the government is putting our money where their mouth is.

See http://www.edie.ie/news/news_story.asp?id=16444

Summary: “Concerned about the loss of jobs that comes about by exporting waste, the Government has launched a €13 million market development programme to help create new Irish jobs by using recycled materials to produce environmentally-friendly goods.”

It’s only 13 million euro, but it is still 13 million euro wasted.

Recycled material is of lower quality than virgin material so it has to compete on price. This means that recycling is done by people on really low wages — that is, low wages on the Indian wage scale. There are substantial occupational hazards in recycling, so Irish labour costs would be high even if wages were low (on an Irish scale). Recycling in Ireland is just not an option, unless the process can be almost fully automated, in which case few jobs would be created.

Increasing the share of recycled materials in Irish manufacturing cannot be good for employment either. Irish companies already have the option to use such materials. The fact that they do not avail of that option would suggest that there is something not right with the cost or quality of recycled material. A subsidy would change the balance, of course, but subsidised input substitution is not known to lead to output growth (and hence new employment).

There is, of course, a niche market for products that serve the environmentally conscious consumer. Real money can be made in designs for that market, even if little money is made in the actual production. Eco-design is a saturated market, however, and Ireland has no obvious edge over its would-be, well-established competitors.

As I said, it’s only 13 million euro. But it is more money down the drain, and it shows that the government really does not understand much about the creation of jobs or wealth.

Unemployment and Homeownership

Ronan Lyons updates his ongoing discussion of this issue on the following link

As Ronan states himself, these are round numbers being constructed from extrapolations from the Census and various property data sites. Ronan is moving toward estimates of the number of people who are both unemployed and in negative equity. I will make his life more difficult by noting that while this would be a really interesting statistic (particular its regional distribution), it does not take into account people who have retained some form of employment but whose income has fallen substantially.

Bubbles

Courtesy of Mark Thoma, here is a nice graph with house price-rent ratios for five countries, including Ireland.

Competitiveness

At a time when the country is trying to regain competitiveness, it is worth pointing to areas where we are extremely competitive. €150 will get you in to the rest of the season’s home league games at Shamrock Rovers, and you can add kids to the half season ticket at €25 a pop. How much change would you have out of €150 after a Ryanair flight to Old Trafford, a match ticket there, and a couple of prawn sandwiches?

Other League of Ireland clubs also offer good value. So get out and support your local club!

Quotes for the day

Simon Johnson is having fun with the sayings of Peer Steinbrück over at the Baseline Scenario, but the German Finance Minister is facing stiff competition from Franz Muentefering, who apparently showed up at an unemployment rally simultaneously saying that “We must do all we can at the moment to protect jobs” and that “There will be no third stimulus package”. Talk about chutzpah.

Speaking of stimulus packages, the latest IMF Regional Economic Outlook for Europe makes some interesting points about the size of fiscal multipliers at times like this: