I wrote previously on the potential relevance of behavioural economics to policy. The programme for the AEA conference this year reveals the extent to which academic economics is attempting to augment traditional models with insights from psychology. Recent popular books such as Nudge by Thaler and Sunstein, Animal Spirits by Shiller and Akerlof and Basic Instincts by the ESRI’s Peter Lunn have served to bring these ideas into the public sphere. Another upcoming book by Akerlof and Kranton attempts to bring the literature they have developed on Economics and Identity more squarely into economic debate (see George Akerlof’s IDEAS page for many of the papers the book is based on). The drive to make economics a more human discipline is discussed briefly here as a positive development by Angus Deaton. Deaton primarily addresses the issue of cognitive biases and there is a growing consensus that information processing limitations should be worked into economic models. However, the challenges posed by integrating constructs from areas such as neuroscience and identity theory are theoretically more fundamental and practically more difficult as they involve languages that most economists simply have never used or considered relevant to their domain. My point in posting this brief post is to encourage people interested in how economics relates to policy to begin to consider these academic influences and what they may imply in Ireland. The economic response to the current recession in Ireland relies in no way at all on any of these new literatures and our approach to training economists and finance professionals has largely remained unaltered by them. A good debate about how seriously we should take these literatures for policy is timely.
Year: 2010
The public phase of this commission’s hearings are about to begin: this week’s Economist provides a useful report on the work of the Commission. You can read this article here.
The Irish Exporters’ Association has just published its end year review for 2009. It has some useful tables showing the sectoral and destination breakdown of both merchandise and services exports – the latter are now 44% of the total. The overall picture is well known, but some of the details are revealing. While overall exports (merchandise + services) fell by just 1%, the declines were 9% for the indigenous sector, 14% for food and 21% for drink. The IEA itself concludes that when the Life Sciences sector is excluded, exports fell by €6.1 billion making it one of the worst years on record for traditional Irish manufacturers selling on export markets. It foresees 2% growth in exports next year, with most of this coming from the services sector.
Michael Casey has an interesting piece in today’s Irish Times.
Two comments: Don’t believe everything that Bjorn Lomborg says about me.
Casey is a bit too pessimistic about Ireland’s potential for research. Ireland does not have the scale to revolutionise global energy supply; and Irish politicians are betting on technologies that are either a very long shot (wave power) or more likely to succeed elsewhere (electric vehicles). But research in Ireland can make some small but useful contributions. Integration of renewables or advanced biofuels are two examples.
Seminar on Environmental Policy for Ireland
Venue: Economic and Social Research Institute, Whitaker Square, Sir John Rogerson’s Quay, Dublin 2, Ireland
Date: 14:15-17:30, February 18, 2010
Programme
14:15-14:20 Welcome
Michael Lehane
14:20-14:30 The ISus project
Richard Tol
14:30-15:00 What should replace MoneyPoint?
Laura Malaguzzi Valeri
15:00-15:30 Waste policy
Paul Gorecki and Sean Lyons
15:30-16:00 Break
16:00-16:30 Tax reform, scrappage, and electric vehicles: The future of Irish cars
Hugh Hennessey and Richard Tol
16:30-17:00 Corporate expenditure on environmental protection
Liam Murphy and Richard Tol
17:00-17:30 Hedonic value of green space
David Duffy, Sean Lyons, Karen Mayor and Richard Tol
Entrance is free. All are welcome. For planning purposes, please register if you intend to attend this seminar.