The Irish Mortgage Market: Stylised Facts, Negative Equity and Arrears

Gerard Kennedy and Tara McIndoe-Calder provide an overview of the state of Irish mortgages in this article in the latest CB quarterly bulletin –  available here.

Learning from Sweden

Lars Calmfors has written a new paper, based on his time as the founding chair of the Swedish Fiscal Policy Council.  The paper is here.

Abstract:

The Swedish Fiscal Policy Council (FPC) set up in 2007 is one example of the recent international trend to create independent fiscal watchdogs. The FPC has established itself as an important participant in the Swedish economic policy discussion. The FPC has small resources and a broad remit including employment, growth, income distribution and monitoring of how well the government explains its policies in addition to evaluation of fiscal policy. The reason why it can work is that the FPC acts as a complement to other institutions. The interaction between fiscal policy and other policy areas as well as the possibility to exploit the council’s expertise in several areas are arguments in favour of the broad mandate, but at the same time there could be a risk that interest is diverted away from fiscal issues. The FPC’s experiences illustrate the time inconsistency issues involved in establishing a fiscal council: a government has an incentive to create such a body as a signal that it will pursue responsible and rational policies, but it also has an incentive to constrain the council’s activities once government policies are criticised.

Corporate Balance Sheet Adjustment

Bruegel looks at corporate deleveraging in this paper.

More on the Fiscal Compact

I have written an op-ed for the Irish Times on this topic – available here.

[The compressed nature of an op-ed means that I did not cover all issues relating to the fiscal compact – my Croke Park presentation touched on some other dimensions.]

Lunch with the FT: Ken Rogoff

Ken Rogoff is profiled in today’s FT – the article is here.