IEA 2018. May 10 and 11 at the Central Bank’s headquarters in North Wall Quay. Please note Early Bird registration is open until April 25.
DAY 1: THURDSAY MAY 10TH 2018
Registration: 8:30-9:00
Session 1: 9:00 to 10:30
1A Public Economics (1)
· Respect your elders: evidence from Ireland’s R&D tax credit reform (Rory Malone, UL) |
· Paying over the odds at the end of the fiscal year: Evidence from Ukraine (Margaryta Klymak, TCD) |
· The Direct and Spillover Effects of Taxation: Evidence from a Property Tax Break for First-Time Buyers (Enda Hargaden, Univ of Tennessee) |
· Follow the Leader? The Interaction between Public and Private Sector Wage Growth in the UK (Arno Hantzsche, NIESR) |
1B Financial Economics (1)
· Positive Liquidity Spillovers from Sovereign Bond-Backed Securities (Peter Dunne, CBI) |
· A Multi-Century Perspective on Return Predictability and Price Bubbles (Don Bredin, UCD) |
· Regulatory Penalties and Reputational Risk: Evidence from Systematically Important Financial Institutions (Sharadha V Tilley, DIT)
· Resolving a Non-Performing Loan crisis: the ongoing case of the Irish mortgage market (Fergal McCann, CBI) |
1C Economics of Health and Education
· The Human Capital Cost of Radiation: Long-Term Evidence from outside the Womb (Benjamin Elsner, UCD) |
· School Tracking and Mental Health (Mika Haapanen, Univ of Jyväskylä) |
· Household Decision Making with Violence: Implications for Transfer Programs (Alejandra Ramos, TCD) |
· Heterogeneity in Early Life Investments: A Longitudinal Analysis of Children’s Time Use (Slawa Rokicki, UCD) |
Coffee: 10:30 to 11:00
Session 2: 11:00 to 12:30
2A Economic History (1)
· Rise and Fall in the Third Reich: Social Mobility and Nazi Membership (Alan de Bromhead, QUB) |
· The Economic Geography of Late Industrialisation: Local Finance and the Cost of Distance in Imperial Russia (Marvin Suesse, TCD) |
· Perfect Mechanics: Artisan Skills and the Origins of the Industrial Revolution. (Morgan Kelly, UCD) |
· Economic Policy and the Common Good (Rowena Pecchenino, NUIM) |
2B Applied Micro (1)
· Determinants of households’ switching demand and execution (Shane Byrne, CBI) |
· The Take-Up of Medical and GP Visit Cards in Ireland (Claire Keane, ESRI) |
· Dodging the deadweight death-spiral: Efficiency and equity implications of UK electricity tariff reform (Niall Farrell, Univ of Oxford) |
· The education, work and fertility decisions of women (Barra Roantree, IFS) |
2C Monetary Policy and Asset Pricing
· Monetary Policy Shocks and Bank Lending: Evidence from the euro area and United States (David Byrne, CBI) |
· The political economy of reforms in central bank design: evidence from a new dataset (Davide Romelli, TCD) |
· Commodity pricing: Evidence from Rational and Behavioural Models (Don Bredin, UCD) |
Lunch: 12:30 to 13:30
Session 3: 13:30-15:00
3A Economic History (2)
· Patent Costs and the Value of Invention: Explaining Patenting Behaviour between England, Ireland and Scotland, 1617-1852 (Stephen Billington, QUB) |
· The Impact of the Great Irish Famine on Irish Mass Migration to the USA at the turn of the twentieth century. (Gayane Vardanyan, TCD) |
· The impact of depression and deglobalization on agricultural outcomes: Insights from interwar Ireland (Tara Mitchell, TCD) |
· Poverty and Population in Pre-Famine Ireland (Alan Fernihough, QUB) |
3B Multinational Firms
· America First? A US-centric view of global capital flows (Martin Schmitz, ECB) |
· Corporate Taxation and the Location Choice of Foreign Direct Investment in the EU Countries (Iulia Siedschlag, ESRI) |
· U.S. corporate income tax cuts: Spillovers to the Irish economy (Daragh Clancy, ESM) |
· The contribution of foreign companies to the business economy and corporate income tax base in Ireland (Seamus Coffey, UCC) |
3C Financial Economics (2)
· Clearinghouse-Five: Determinants of voluntary clearing in European derivatives markets (Pawel Fiedor, CBI) |
· The Implications of Tail Dependency for Counterparty Credit Risk Pricing (Juan Carlos Arismendi Zambrano, NUIM) |
· Money Market Funds and Unconventional Monetary Policy (Jacopo Sorbo, CBI) |
· What ‘special purposes’ explain cross-border debt funding by banks? Evidence from Ireland (Eduardo Maqui, ECB) |
Coffee: 15:00-15:30
Session 4: 15:30-16:45
4A Macroeconomics of the Irish economy
· Disentangling Credit Shocks in the Irish Mortgage Market (Michael O’Grady, CBI) |
· Inside the “Upside Down”: Estimating Ireland’s Output Gap (Eddie Casey, IFAC) |
· Modelling External Shocks in a Small Open Economy: The Case of Ireland (Graeme Walsh, CBI) |
4B Labour Economics (1)
· Employment and Hours Impacts of the National Minimum Wage and National Living Wage in Northern Ireland (Duncan McVicar, QUB) |
· Estimating the Effect of an Increase in the Minimum Wage on Hours Worked and Employment in Ireland (Paul Redmond, ESRI) |
· Taxpayer Responsiveness and Statutory Incidence: Evidence from Irish Social Security Notches (Enda Hargaden, Univ of Tennessee) |
4C Measurement & Methods
· Macro and Micro Estimates of Irish Household Wealth (Mary Cussen, CBI) |
· New Characteristics and Hedonic Price Index Numbers (Peter Neary, Univ of Oxford) |
· Patterns of Firm Level Productivity in Ireland (Luke Rehill, DoF) |
17:00-19:00
Economic and Social Review Guest Lecture: Professor Wendy Carlin (University College London and the CORE Project)
19:30 Dinner at ELY IFSC, CHQ Building
DAY TWO: FRIDAY MAY 11TH
Session 5: 9:00-10:30
5A Macroeconomic Modeling
· Shadow Bank run: The Story of a Recession (Hamed Ghiaie, Universite de Cergy-Pontoise) |
· Real exchange rate dynamics in New-Keynesian models – The Balassa-Samuelson mechanism revisited (Maren Brede, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin) |
· Factor Misallocation and Adjustment Costs: Evidence from Italy (Robert Goodhead, CBI) |
· The Effect of Rents on Wages when Labour is Mobile Across Regions (Matija Lozej, CBI) |
5B Banking
· EU banks and profit shifting: preliminary evidence from country-by-country reporting (Wildmer Daniel Gregori, EC) |
· Cross-border banking in the EU since the crisis: what is driving the great retrenchment? (Lorenz Emter, CBI) |
· Banking crises and investments in innovation (Oana Peia, UCD) |
· Pockets of risk in European housing markets: then and now (Jane Kelly, CBI) |
5C Agriculture & natural resources
· Sea bass angling in Ireland: a structural equation model of catch and effort (Gianluca Grilli, ESRI) |
· Understanding Farmer’s Valuation of Agricultural Insurance: Evidence from Viet Nam (Anuj Singh, TCD) |
· Accounting for technology heterogeneities and policy change in farm level efficiency analysis: an application to the Irish beef sector (Maria Martinez Cillero, ESRI) |
· The impact of residential ‘weatherisation’ schemes on the domestic energy consumption of Irish households (Bryan Coyne, TCD) |
Coffee: 10:30-11:00
Session 6: 11:00 – 12:30
6A International Trade
· The Heterogeneous Impact of Brexit: Early Indications from the FTSE (Ron Davies, UCD) |
· Research Dissemination, Distance and Borders (Lukas Kuld, TU Dortmund) |
· What’s Another Day? The Impact of Non-Tariff Barriers on Trade (Jonathan Rice, Central Bank) |
· Imported Intermediate Goods and Incomplete Exchange Rate Pass-Through into Export Prices (Alexander Firanchuk, TCD) |
6B Macroprudential Policy
· An Early Warning System for Systemic Banking Crises – A Robust Model Specification (Michael Wosser, CBI) |
· The effectiveness of macroprudential policies in the euro area (Eóin Flaherty, CSO) |
· Macroprudential Policy, Uncertainty and Household Savings Behaviour (Conor O’Toole, ESRI) |
· Credit Booms, Macroprudential Policy and Financial Crises (Peter Karlström, Univ of Bologna) |
6C Political Economy & Institutions
· Ebola, Resistance and State Legitimacy (Matthias Flueckiger, QUB) |
· Does Corruption Ease the Burden of Regulation? National and Subnational Evidence (Robert Gillanders, DCU) |
· Can labour market institutions mitigate the China Syndrome? Evidence from regional labour markets in Western Europe (Jan-Luca Hennig, TCD) |
· Refugees, migrants and the right-wing vote share: evidence from Sweden (Rachel Slaymaker, ESRI) |
Lunch: 12:30-13:30
Session 7: 13:30-15:00
7A Econometrics and Forecasting
· Forecasting with FAVAR: Macroeconomic versus Financial Factors (Alessia Paccagnini, UCD) |
· Forecasting Irish Inflation after the crisis: Evaluating Multiple Bayesian Approaches (Shayan Zakipour-Saber, CBI) |
· Model Averaging in a Multiplicative Heteroscedastic Model (Alan Wan, City Univ of Hong Kong) |
· Phillips curves in the euro area (Laura Moretti, ECB) |
7B Macro-finance
· Financial Crises, Macroeconomic Shocks, and the Government Balance Sheet: A Panel Analysis (Matteo Ruzzante, Universidade Nova de Lisboa) |
· Is Macroeconomic Uncertainty or Policy Uncertainty Priced in UK Stock Returns? (Jun Gao, UCC) |
· Eurobonds: A Quantitative Analysis of Joint-Liability Debt (Vasileios Tsiropoulos, CBI) |
· Constructing A Financial Conditions Index for the United Kingdom: A Comparative Analysis (Sheng Zhu, UCC) |
7C Applied Micro (2)
· Crime Highways: the Effect of Motorway Expansion on Burglary Rates (Kerri Agnew, TCD) |
· Consumer Switching in European Energy Markets: A Comparative Assessment (Jason Harold, ESRI) |
· Expectations of future care needs and wealth trajectories in retirement (Rowena Crawford, IFS) |
· Expected Child Mortality, Fertility Decisions, and the Demographic Dividend in Low and Middle Income Countries (Mark McGovern, QUB) |
Coffee: 15:00-15:30
15:30-17:15
Edgeworth Lecture: Professor Olivier Blanchard (MIT and Peterson Institute for International Economics)
17.30
Irish Economic Assocation AGM