Inequality in the UK

The IFS have recently published a report on inequality in the UK (http://www.ifs.org.uk/publications/4524).  They show inequality at its highest level since a consistent time-series began in 1961.  Unfortunately the data has not picked up all of the recent declines in income but they speculate that incomes at the top (more heavily dependent upon interest and dividends and with a higher proportion of earners in the financial sector) may have experienced a greater fall.  It is interesting to carry out similar speculation for Ireland.  Certainly the same forces are at work at the top of the income distribution but we have also experienced a greater rise in unemployment.  However the recent ESRI analysis by Tim Callan and his colleagues has shown that the lowest quintile has done relatively well in recent budgets, particularly last year.  On balance this suggests a fall in inequality. The relative position of pensioners is of particular interest, with their reliance on interest and dividends (which have fallen) and on the old-age pension, which has risen in real terms in recent years.  No doubt Brian Nolan’s paper at Wednesday’s Conference in TCD will throw further light upon this.

Recovery Scenarios from the ESRI

The ESRI has released a scenario analysis by which the path of economic recovery is primarily driven by recovery in the world economy: you can find the paper here.

Rathmines and the IMF

This Rathmines internet cafe is seeking to ward off IMF intervention:

IMF and Rathmines

Life in Norway

Landon Thomas of the NYT turns his attention to Norway’s prudent approach to fiscal policy and banking in this interesting article.

Crisis Policy Conference programme, 20th May

Trinity College Dublin
(Department of Economics and IIIS)
and the
Dublin Economics Workshop

Conference

IRISH ECONOMIC POLICY FOR THE CRISIS: WHAT’S NEXT?

J.M. Synge Lecture Theatre (Room 2039), Arts Building,
Trinity College Dublin
Wednesday 20th May, 2009

PROGRAMME

Session 1: 1.30-3.30

Chair: Jim O’Brien, Second Secretary General, Department of Finance

John Fitz Gerald (ESRI) on Competitiveness
Karl Whelan (UCD) on Potential Output
Brian Nolan (UCD) on Inequality

Session 2: 4:00-6:00

Chair: John McHale, Queens University, Canada & NUIG

Colm McCarthy (UCD) on Pensions
Philip R. Lane (Trinity College Dublin) on Fiscal Policy
Patrick Honohan (Trinity College Dublin) on Banks